Interpreting the Output

HydroForecast™ employs a fully probabilistic model and predicts a complete probability distribution of inflow at each forecast step. From this probability distribution we can report any confidence interval/exceedance probability desired, including the mean. In the plot below we plot a range of commonly used confidence intervals. In addition, if a collection of flow traces are desired for easier integration with further operations planning steps they can be provided.

HydroForecast™ is flexible with respect to forecast step size and has been engineered to provide flexibility with respect to forecast horizon.